BTC Market Pulse: Week 31

Bitcoin rebounded from $64K to $65.1K but remains range-bound. Softer leverage, ETF outflows and muted on-chain activity signal cautious consolidation despite resilient holders.

BTC Market Pulse: Week 31

Overview

After rallying to a local high near $66.7K, Bitcoin retraced toward $64K before recovering to around $65.1K, leaving price action range-bound and reinforcing the broader consolidation regime. Spot prices remain contained within statistical bands, while exchange liquidity has contracted and aggressive selling pressure has eased moderately.

Derivatives markets reinforce this cautious backdrop. Perpetual futures show declining buy-side aggression and softer speculative conviction. Although aggregate open interest has increased slightly, long-side funding payments have cooled sharply, pointing to a more measured use of leverage. Meanwhile, options open interest continues to expand alongside a widening volatility spread, suggesting traders are pricing greater future uncertainty relative to recent realised price swings.

Institutional demand has also weakened. Regulated investment products have shifted into net outflows, accompanied by a notable decline in weekly trading volume. Despite this cooling in capital flows, aggregate institutional positions remain modestly profitable, with valuation thresholds holding relatively stable.

On-chain activity reflects the same subdued environment. Active addresses remain steady, but economic settlement and transaction pressure remain restrained. Broader capital inflows are stagnant, while long-term holders continue to demonstrate conviction, preserving a resilient underlying holder base.

Profitability metrics point to stabilising sentiment. Aggregate unrealised losses have declined modestly, while realised losses have eased, suggesting corrective selling pressure is beginning to subside. Overall, the market remains in a quiet transitional phase, supported by steady holder retention but constrained by cautious participation across spot, derivatives and institutional channels.

Off-chain Insights

On-chain Insights

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Disclaimer: This report does not provide any investment advice. All data is provided for information and educational purposes only. No investment decision shall be based on the information provided here and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.

Exchange balances presented are derived from Glassnode’s comprehensive database of address labels, which are amassed through both officially published exchange information and proprietary clustering algorithms. While we strive to ensure the utmost accuracy in representing exchange balances, it is important to note that these figures might not always encapsulate the entirety of an exchange’s reserves, particularly when exchanges refrain from disclosing their official addresses. We urge users to exercise caution and discretion when utilizing these metrics. Glassnode shall not be held responsible for any discrepancies or potential inaccuracies. 

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